Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
106 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   24 - 5 16 - 2 24 - 5 16 - 2 +3.7      +1.9 106 +1.8 106 68.2 164 +6.1 81 +7.4 1
144 UNC Asheville 100.0%   16   16 - 13 11 - 7 16 - 13 11 - 7 +1.4      +0.6 148 +0.8 142 73.5 53 -1.3 185 -1.9 3
198 VMI 0.0%   14 - 13 10 - 8 14 - 13 10 - 8 -2.2      -0.8 193 -1.4 210 89.8 2 -3.0 210 -2.9 4
215 Charleston Southern 0.0%   12 - 16 9 - 9 12 - 16 9 - 9 -3.0      -1.4 209 -1.5 218 69.5 136 -4.3 233 -4.3 6
227 Winthrop 0.0%   11 - 17 9 - 9 11 - 17 9 - 9 -3.3      -1.8 229 -1.5 219 66.8 207 -4.8 243 -4.2 5
228 Liberty 0.0%   16 - 13 13 - 5 16 - 13 13 - 5 -3.4      -1.8 228 -1.6 224 65.8 232 -1.3 186 +2.0 2
250 Presbyterian 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 11 13 - 18 7 - 11 -5.3      -2.6 248 -2.7 252 56.8 338 -3.4 217 -6.9 8
267 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 12 9 - 21 6 - 12 -6.4      -3.3 267 -3.1 261 64.7 254 -6.5 263 -8.4 9
307 High Point 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 11 10 - 19 7 - 11 -9.7      -4.9 309 -4.8 306 69.8 123 -6.6 266 -6.4 7
331 Radford 0.0%   2 - 24 2 - 16 2 - 24 2 - 16 -14.0      -7.2 331 -6.8 330 70.9 97 -16.1 335 -15.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Coastal Carolina 1.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 3.0 100.0
VMI 4.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 5.0 100.0
Winthrop 5.0 100.0
Liberty 2.0 100.0
Presbyterian 7.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 9.0 100.0
High Point 7.0 100.0
Radford 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Coastal Carolina 16 - 2 100.0
UNC Asheville 11 - 7 100.0
VMI 10 - 8 100.0
Charleston Southern 9 - 9 100.0
Winthrop 9 - 9 100.0
Liberty 13 - 5 100.0
Presbyterian 7 - 11 100.0
Gardner-Webb 6 - 12 100.0
High Point 7 - 11 100.0
Radford 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Coastal Carolina 100.0% 100.0
UNC Asheville
VMI
Charleston Southern
Winthrop
Liberty
Presbyterian
Gardner-Webb
High Point
Radford


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 11.6 88.3
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 100.0% 33.2% 89.0% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 89.0% 0.9 11.0 89.0 0.0
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0